CINCINNATI (FOX19) – A new SurveyUSA poll sponsored by Firedoglake shows incumbent Democrat Steve Driehaus substantially behind former Republican Congressman Steve Chabot in Ohio's 1st congressional district. If the election were held today, Chabot would beat Driehaus in a head-to-head match-up, 56% to 39%.
According to the poll and article, the 2010 election will be a rematch of the last cycle.
In 2008, Driehaus managed to unseat Chabot, who had represented the 1st District for over a decade, by 52.5% to 47.5%. Given Chabot's long political history in the district it should be safe to assume that both candidates have high name recognition.
"There hasn't been a year like this since 1994, with throw the bums out, people are really upset with government, economies make or break politicians more than any other issue and with the economy being bad and coming out of a horrible time, anybody in office right now from Congress to local offices are going to be in trouble this year," said Patrick Crowley, a local political expert.
The race is currently rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report.
"Steve Chabot has an excellent chance of going after that seat Steve Driehaus is a Democrat in a district that had been Republican for a long time, he is an incubate, the President is un popular, you have to think right now Chabot has a really good chance of taking that seat back," said Crowley.
Political experts say it's not just in Ohio we're learning races across the Tri-State may have incumbents in several close races.
"You're not only seeing Democrats in trouble but Republicans fighting with-in the party, fighting over the party, you've seen in some of the early races and some of the special elections this year Republicans fighting over the party," said Crowley.
Finally, in Indiana Republican Mike Sodrel says he will run for the 9th District seat again.
He and democrat Baron Hill have faced each other in the last four Congressional races.
Sodrel won once, Hill has won three times.
"It's a new day and a new year and a lot of people that weren't, following politics who were not engaged two or three years ago are now very excited," said Crowley.