Poll: Kasich, Sanders trail in primaries, lead in November

Poll: Kasich, Sanders trail in primaries, lead in November
John Kasich (Provided by John Kasich Twitter feed)
John Kasich (Provided by John Kasich Twitter feed)

CINCINNATI, OH (FOX19) - Donald Trump and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are clear leaders in hypothetical Republican and Democratic primaries nationwide, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released Wednesday.

  • Republican: Trump at 43 percent, with 29 percent for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 16 percent for Ohio Gov. John Kasich.
  • Democratic: Clinton over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont 50 - 38 percent.

But Sanders and Kasich run best in head-to-head general election match-ups among all American voters, topping other candidates by wide margins and locked in a dead heat with each other, the poll finds.

  • Clinton tops Trump 46 - 40 percent;
  • Clinton gets 45 percent to 42 percent for Cruz;
  • Kasich tops Clinton 47 - 39 percent;
  • Sanders beats Trump 52 - 38 percent;
  • Sanders tops Cruz 50 - 39 percent;
  • Kasich gets 45 percent to Sanders' 44 percent.

Trump and Clinton top the "no way" list as 54 percent of American voters say they "would definitely not" vote for Trump, with 43 percent saying no to Clinton, 33 percent nixing Cruz, 27 percent saying no to Sanders and 14 percent saying no to Kasich. 

"Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton may have the overall leads among primary voters, but there is not a lot of love in the room as a big percentage of Americans say of the front- runners they could take 'em or leave 'em," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, in a prepared statement.

"Though short on delegates and short on time, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Gov. John Kasich can hang their hats on the fact that if folks went to the polls today, they'd fare better than the other candidates." 

"Scared." That's the one word 117 American voters use to describe how they feel about the possibility of Trump as president, in an open-ended question.

Another 46 voters say "disaster," with 45 voters each for "frightened" and "terrified." Another 42 voters say "horrified." The first positive word, "good," is seventh on the list, from 36 voters. 

"Disaster" is the word 68 voters use to describe their feelings about Clinton as president. It goes back and forth after that: 51 voters say "good;" 49 voters say "scared;" 43 voters say "disappointed" and 41 voters say "hopeful." 

Trump, Clinton and Cruz each get negative favorability ratings:

  • 33 - 61 percent for Trump;
  • 39 - 56 percent for Clinton;
  • 32 - 47 percent for Cruz. Kasich gets a positive 43 - 20 percent favorability score, with Sanders at 50 - 37 percent

The poll also looked at campaign violence and found:

Trump is "very responsible" for violent incidents at his campaign rallies, 37 percent of American voters say, while 27 percent say he is "somewhat responsible."

Another 12 percent say he is "not so responsible" and 22 percent say he is "not at all responsible." 

At the same time, 39 percent of voters say protesters at Trump rallies are "very responsible" for violence, and another 39 percent say protesters are "somewhat responsible." 

And 30 percent of voters say Trump supporters are "very responsible" for violence, while 40 percent say supporters are "somewhat responsible." 

"Donald Trump may say hired instigators have brought violence to his rallies, but 64 percent of American voters are laying the blame squarely on the candidate, while 78 percent are blaming the protestors," Malloy said. 

From March 16 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,451 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.

Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The survey includes 652 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 635 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.

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