CINCINNATI, OH (FOX19) - It's time to start thinking about what residents in the Tri-State can expect this winter.
Keep in mind, these outlooks are trends over a three-month period (from December to February).
It's important to start with La Niña and its influence on large-scale weather conditions.
This year, sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean have been running below average. That cooler ocean water can shift weather patterns. High pressure will set up over the northern Pacific, shifting the polar and Pacific jet streams. As a result, temps and precipitation across the U.S. will be impacted.
- The Tri-State should see near or slightly above average temperatures this winter.
- Portions of the Ohio Valley have the highest odds of above average precipitation this winter. Depending on temperatures, increased odds of snow are possible.
At the end of the day, the timing and the track of the storm has the biggest influence on what defines our winter.